CECelanese Corporation
Is it safe?
Forensics clean, with a caveat: clean books and insiders buying, but heavy debt (BB) and big price swings.
Mixed, watch the balance sheet Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.
Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).
Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.
Multiple insiders bought with their own money (net +$230K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026).
Moderately leveraged. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -79% · now 35% below its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can CE take a bad year?
Celanese Corporation carries $10.6B of net debt at 74.4× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.
Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 74.4×
Net debt / EBITDA
- Altman Z-score
- 1.26
Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8
- Interest cover
- none
Interest cover · no operating profit to pay the interest bill from
Details›
- Total debtQ2 2026
- $12.0B
- Cash and short-term investments
- $1.36B
- Net debt
- $10.6B
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- $143M
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- −$692M
- Debt / equity
- 2.88×
- Total debt / EBITDA
- 84.0×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 60%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −79%
- Below its 52-week high
- 35%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.