BURLBurlington Stores, Inc.
Is it safe?
Strong, no red flags: clean books, quality strong, and comfortable debt (AA).
Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).
High fundamental quality Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.
Insiders were net sellers (-$1.5M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.
Rock-solid balance sheet, low leverage. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -69% · now 25% below its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Jan 31, 2026.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can BURL take a bad year?
Burlington Stores, Inc. carries $1.21B of net debt at 0.87× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.
Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · under two and a half years of EBITDA, comfortable
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.87×
Net debt / EBITDA · 1.18× a year ago · the load is coming down
- Interest cover
- 12.7×
Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over
- Annualised volatility
- 41%
Annualised volatility · roughly twice as jumpy as the market
Details›
- Total debtQ2 2026
- $1.91B
- Cash and short-term investments
- $704M
- Net debt
- $1.21B
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- $1.39B
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- $941M
- Debt / equity
- 0.96×
- Total debt / EBITDA
- 1.38×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 41%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −69%
- Below its 52-week high
- 25%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.