ALMSAlumis Inc.
Is it safe?
Forensics clean, with a caveat: a safe balance sheet and insiders buying, but heavy debt (CCC) and big price swings.
Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.
Insiders were net buyers (+$9.3M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026). SEC Form 4 filings: officers and directors must report their own trades within two business days.
Debt against weak or negative operating profit. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -79% · now 76% below its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can ALMS take a bad year?
The deepest fall in ALMS's price history on file is −79%; it is 76% below its high today.
Altman Z-score · distress below 1.8 · safe above 3 · safe zone, the balance sheet is not what threatens this one
- Cash runway
- 0.2 years
Cash runway · burning $88M a quarter at the current rate
- Annualised volatility
- 123%
Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing
- Worst drawdown on file
- −79%
Worst drawdown on file · −76% today
Details›
- Cash and short-term investments
- $64M
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- −$456M
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- −$459M
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 123%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −79%
- Below its 52-week high
- 76%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.
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